The @Fifa #WorldCup #Brazil2014 is over. So what have we learned, who were this summers game changers, and what are the moments that will live long in our memory? Here is a Technical Review from work conducted through varied teams of analysts over the month long extravaganza - enjoy!
To view the entire #WorldCup blog with all of the complete results, highlights and technical reviews match by match click here <> In-conjuntion with our analyst partner PROZONE (key graph data) was directly produced through PROZONE, whilst our key - highlighted analysis included three areas of execution 1. GoalKeeper distribution, 2. Variances of Goal Scoring and how each relate to 3. Overall Win Probability. In order to win matches, you must score goals, in which the teams most successful as to territory possession through (net passes) found the most success <> see below, NET SUCCESSFUL PASSES:
Net Passes are highlighted within the 4 #WorldCup (semi-finalist) highlighted in green above (Germany - Champions 2/32) (Argentina - RunnerUp 4/32) whilst Brazil and Netherlands #Brazil2014 semi-finalist were slightly in the positive, yet both conceding large spells of possession in the semi-finals direct cause as to both losing because of it. Note only 7 of 17 teams in the positive (net passing) found themselves through the group stages! Possession without purpose or progression into the final third = territory possession and leading to chances on goal led to (for example) Spain being eliminated as well as others such as Italy, England and Portugal. Therefore let's transition --- to, (shots within the penalty area) to see where the initial trend of being in possession = end product, see below, NET SHOTS INSIDE PENALTY AREA
Considering the above (net shots within the penalty area) Argentina stands out, again with your four semi-finalist all in the positive. With a mean average of 2.5 chances per match needed, for success whilst anything below 1.0 led countries into the negative column and correlates with the most inconsistent and/or unproductive teams on goal and in front of goal within #Brazil2014. Therefore here are three data reports as to where possession starts 1. (GoalKeeper Distribution), (see #1below) and how it correlates to (Net Passes) with any such team retaining possession. Furthermore how possession develops into (Goal Scoring opportunities), (see#2and3below) and the origin of such opportunities. Again with this you will see the four semi-finalist all in top/positive positions in all areas with an additional 4or5 others who's performances are not as surprising when you consider each of the below data analysis.
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In correlation to possession (net passes) within possession and the ability to start and retain possession through the (GoalKeeper) found each of the four semi-finalist in the positive column in all such areas. Translating to all four semi-finalist as well as teams who performed better than their end results --- factors such as France and Portugal developing the attack and creating end product from their possession leading to (net shots) and positive locations of chances created as to (goal scoring strike locations). The simplest way to look at this is (strike efficiency) and goals scored versus goals conceded, within the #WorldCup top8 teams highlighted in green all with a low concession of goals = success or failure, categorizing them into 1of4 categories...
- Those in the top left were bound to be eliminated early, as differential was to far to recover >
- Those in the top right found themselves scoring, yet conceding at the same and/or a higher rate >
- Those in the bottom right did not score more but were more consistent defensively than all others >
- Those in the bottom right led through possession = goals, whilst conceding in lower than average
totals as well >
See Below, GOALSCORING EFFICIENCY
- Those in the top left were bound to be eliminated early, as differential was to far to recover >
- Those in the top right found themselves scoring, yet conceding at the same and/or a higher rate >
- Those in the bottom right did not score more but were more consistent defensively than all others >
- Those in the bottom right led through possession = goals, whilst conceding in lower than average
totals as well >
See Below, GOALSCORING EFFICIENCY
Leading to (win probability) we found that (possession) retained in all three segments or four quarters of the field, led to more consistent (net scoring) chances as well as more consistent (strikes) within consistent locations on the field. Combined with a more traditional approach of conceding fewer and scoring at a greater value, more consistently. Teams generating a combination of the three had the highest win probability (see report below). Such consistency of the final 8, semi finalist and finalist were consistent in all three areas and deservingly so, found themselves playing within the advanced stages and as to the #WorldCup final (SHOT comparison), see above.
| win_probability.pdf |
Adding both us @ScoreUSA_ISDA and our resident analyst on twitter @SAHsoccer1 will allow us to generate the #WorldCup technical report in it's entirety to send to you, should you add both of the above and not have the report follow in a reply please EMAIL US (include your twitter handle) and we will forward the complete report to you. Our BestXI as to #Brazil2014 click here
Additional Links: @FIFA #WorldCup #Brazil2014
2014 @Fifa TECHNICAL REPORT (to be finalized OCT 2014) published here - please check back!
Additional Links: @FIFA #WorldCup #Brazil2014
2014 @Fifa TECHNICAL REPORT (to be finalized OCT 2014) published here - please check back!
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